Expected Goals Model

Model Update: Expected Goals

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Standings & Playoff Odds

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Projections & Odds last updated: Jan 16, 2026, 10:33 PM PST

		Team	PTS(Pace)	PTS(Proj.)	PlayoffOdds	CupOdds
PAC		VGKVegas Golden Knights	103	104	100%	14%
		EDMEdmonton Oilers	92	93	88%	5%
		SEASeattle Kraken	91	83	22%	0.0%

CEN		COLColorado Avalanche	132	121	100%	16%
		DALDallas Stars	108	103	100%	7%
		MINMinnesota Wild	104	98	96%	2%

WC		S.JSan Jose Sharks	89	87	45%	0.3%
WC		UTAUtah Mammoth	89	91	77%	3%

		NSHNashville Predators	87	85	30%	0.2%
		L.ALos Angeles Kings	87	90	67%	2%
		ANAAnaheim Ducks	85	84	30%	0.1%
		STLSt. Louis Blues	79	82	17%	0.3%
		CHIChicago Blackhawks	79	78	5%	0.0%
		CGYCalgary Flames	77	76	3%	0.0%
		WPGWinnipeg Jets	77	83	22%	0.6%
		VANVancouver Canucks	65	68	.0%	0.0%

		Team	PTS(Pace)	PTS(Proj.)	PlayoffOdds	CupOdds
MET		CARCarolina Hurricanes	106	103	98%	10%
		NYINew York Islanders	99	91	45%	0.2%
		PITPittsburgh Penguins	96	92	51%	1%

ATL		T.BTampa Bay Lightning	111	109	100%	21%
		DETDetroit Red Wings	104	95	68%	1%
		MTLMontreal Canadiens	101	95	61%	1%

WC		BUFBuffalo Sabres	100	96	72%	3%
WC		BOSBoston Bruins	96	91	36%	0.6%

		TORToronto Maple Leafs	94	93	48%	2%
		PHIPhiladelphia Flyers	93	87	21%	0.3%
		WSHWashington Capitals	92	92	57%	2%
		FLAFlorida Panthers	91	92	44%	2%
		OTTOttawa Senators	87	91	36%	2%
		N.JNew Jersey Devils	87	90	41%	2%
		CBJColumbus Blue Jackets	85	88	23%	0.9%
		NYRNew York Rangers	79	79	1%	0.0%

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